research-and-writings/
49 pages · Updated April 26, 2026
Pages
- Calibration or Contrition
- Iran Messaging: The economic frame keeps winning. Exit strategy is now a weapon. Don’t say “Iraq.”
- The Tavern Take: Week of March 16, 2026
- Every Iran Escalation Polls Worse Than the Last.
- Voters Oppose Stripping Birthright Citizenship. They Oppose One Person Deciding It Even More.
- The Tavern Take: Week of April 6, 2026
- The Playbook: Test More, Test Better.
- What the Bottom of the Iran Message Battery Tells You
- The Tavern Take: Week of April 13, 2026
- The Government Can Search Your Data Without a Warrant. Voters Want That Fixed.
- The Playbook: The Problem With the Old Model – Too Few Choices, Too Much Money.
- Make It About Their Kitchen Table, Not Your War.
- The Playbook: Real People. Real Responses. Real Results.
- The Tavern Take: Week of March 30, 2026
- The Playbook: Your Ad Is Already Obsolete. Tavern’s Isn't.
- The Iran Numbers Every Campaign Should Have Right Now.
- Surprising new research finds Americans oppose technology that kills us, support technology that saves lives
- The Human Cost of the Iran War Is Now the Argument That Wins.
- The Border Shutdown Walked Into an Airport and Lost.
- The Iran War Is Nine Days Old. Public Support Is a Coin Flip.
- 55% Want Congressional Authorization. Congress Said No. The Public Noticed.
- Trump's Two Weakest Flanks on Iran — And They Compound Each Other.
- THE LAB: The Attention Problem
- The Cutting Room Floor – April 10, 2026
- Firing Noem Wasn’t Enough. The $220M Is Still on the Ledger.
- The DOJ Override Template: The Breonna Taylor Number That Applies to Every Case That Comes Next
- The Cutting Room Floor – Mar 27, 2026
- The Tavern Take: Week of March 9, 2026
- Texas SENATE: Talarico Dominates Independents, Cornyn's Trump Pitch Backfires
- The Iran Message That's Working
- Transparency Wins. Treatment Restrictions Lose. How Voters Are Actually Reading the SAVE Act.
- Iran Strikes Opposed by 19-Point Margin; Voters Back Congressional War Powers Vote
- The Tavern Take: Week of March 2, 2026
- The Issue Campaigns Should Be Defining Before Republicans Do.
- The Cutting Room Floor – Mar 13, 2026
- The Epstein Finding Isn't 53-20. It's the Broken Promise at −25.
- The SCOTUS Tariff Ruling Changed Nothing
- Voters Side With Anthropic
- The SCOTUS Appointment Fight Is a Sleeping Giant. It's About to Wake Up.
- The Epstein Files Are a Supermajority Issue
- This Isn't an Immigration Debate. It's a Corruption Debate.
- The Cutting Room Floor – April 3, 2026
- The Cutting Room Floor – April 17, 2026
- Every Issue Is an Economic Issue Now.
- The Cutting Room Floor – Mar 6, 2026
- The Cutting Room Floor – Feb 27, 2026
- The "Fight Trump" Playbook Is Losing to "Fix My Rent"
- 52% Say Excessive Force. 56% Say Too Far.
- The Cutting Room Floor – April 3, 2026